Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Thursday, June 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 37-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 35-26 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks O
Nationals U

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 70.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+15.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+15.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games at home (+10.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Pavin Smith 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Christian Walker 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Joey Meneses 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Alex Call 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Pavin Smith 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Joey Meneses 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alex Call 0.5 -125 0.5 -105

Nationals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Pavin Smith 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Christian Walker 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Joey Meneses 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Alex Call 0.5 +225 0.5 -300

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Josiah Gray 4.5 -140 4.5 +105
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+14.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 43 games (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 37-25 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 16.01% ROI).

  • 37-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 17.75% ROI
  • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -6.41% ROI
  • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.64% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 35-26 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 7.46% ROI).

  • 25-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 3.15% ROI
  • 28-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -5.78% ROI
  • 29-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.94% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .194 (48-for-248) against Merrill Kelly this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 92nd Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (26 Total Bases / 113 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — 98th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has an ERA of 1.63 (27.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.13 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .180 (23-for-128) against Merrill Kelly this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 87th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has allowed a .477 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– 13th Percentile and just .301 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.

13 of Josiah Gray’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.

13 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (33/92) against Josiah Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Diamondbacks are just 86-15 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Diamondbacks are 8-2 (.800) after a road loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The Diamondbacks are just 95-9 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.

The Diamondbacks are 27-2 (.931) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Nationals are just 25-122 (.170) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Nationals are just 12-20 (.375) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Nationals are just 38-75 (.336) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,392 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/8,299) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.

The Diamondbacks are 9-1 (.900) against the run line (54.0% ROI) after a road loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Diamondbacks are batting .197 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .171.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have drawn 104 walks in 1,541 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Nationals hitters have just 133 strikeouts in 764 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have just 530 strikeouts in 2,711 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 72% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
  • Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
  • Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Diamondbacks): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.