Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 13

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  • The Orioles are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (+118) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-145) on April 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 6-9 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 1-1, 4.11 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-0, 1.90 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -190O 8.5 -110+118
Orioles -1.5 +155U 8.5 -110-145

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+21.10 Units / 234% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.41 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-3 against the Run Line (+8.9 Units / 38.12% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 20.83% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 14.2% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -21.59% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 6-9 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -18.26% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.62% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.92% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -12.61% ROI

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are just 67-19 (.779) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Orioles are just 1-83 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles are just 70-11 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .275 (392 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .432 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters slugged .439 against RHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of .764 (4,376 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .365 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Orioles are batting .267 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles hitters struck out in 24% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .232 (142 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 11% of the time in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .269 against Orioles pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.