- The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-140) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Diamondbacks vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 2-2 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -140 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Dahl | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 166 games (+21.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 166 games (+2.95 Units / 2% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 89 games at home (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -10% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 31.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 1.2% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -25.29% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 17% (5/29) against Ryne Nelson over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 21% (17/81) against Ryne Nelson over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .135 (5-for-37) against Ryne Nelson over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 101-23 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-33 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-10 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are just 7-130 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Padres are just 15-121 (.110) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Padres are 22-15 (.595) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres were 26-13 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Diamondbacks batted just .217 with two outs in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 39% since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .219 with two outs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 743 strikeouts in 3,595 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters had an OPS of just .672 (2,955 PA’s) at home in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .327 (3,260 PA’s) on the road in 2022 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 83 times since the 2021 season — fewest in MLB.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adam Engel (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Toe, D15
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
