- The Padres (41-27) are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (32-36)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-3), 3.78 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (6-3), 3.34 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 32-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 37-31 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | O 7 +100 | +135 |
| Padres | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -120 | -165 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
| Zach Davies | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-29 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 8.02% ROI).
- 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -14.92% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 5.8% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 37-31 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 7.2% ROI).
- 41-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 8.1% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -12.05% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 4.1% ROI
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 71% of the time (204/288) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (155/288) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (4-for-28) against Zach Davies on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (203/955) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .099 (8-for-81) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (31 Total Bases / 133 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (39-for-270) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has not allowed a walk in his last 97 PAs against a LHH dating back to April 29th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-26 (.257) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Diamondbacks are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are 19-5 (.792) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Padres are 5-19 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Padres are 24-14 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .173 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 33% of their home games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,249 of their 3,734 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Padres are batting .256 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 59% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Padres have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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