Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2022, 11:21 AM
  • The Padres (41-27) are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (32-36)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-3), 3.78 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (6-3), 3.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Diamondbacks vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 32-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 37-31 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -155O 7 +100+135
Padres -1.5 +125U 7 -120-165

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.70 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.45 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Luke Voit has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nomar Mazara has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Eric Hosmer 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
    Jurickson Profar 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

    Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Eric Hosmer 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
    Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Jorge Alfaro 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Jurickson Profar 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

    Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Eric Hosmer 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Jurickson Profar 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

    Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Yu Darvish 6.5 +115 6.5 -160
    Zach Davies 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 57 games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games (+9.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 67 games (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-29 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 8.02% ROI).

    • 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.37% ROI
    • 29-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -14.92% ROI
    • 37-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 5.8% ROI

    Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 37-31 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 7.2% ROI).

    • 41-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 8.1% ROI
    • 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -12.05% ROI
    • 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 4.1% ROI

    Zach Davies has located his pitches away 71% of the time (204/288) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

    Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (155/288) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .143 (4-for-28) against Zach Davies on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .276 — 94th Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (203/955) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

    Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting just .099 (8-for-81) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 99th Percentile.

    Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (31 Total Bases / 133 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 98th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .144 (39-for-270) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.

    Yu Darvish has not allowed a walk in his last 97 PAs against a LHH dating back to April 29th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

    Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Diamondbacks are just 81-21 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

    The Diamondbacks are just 9-26 (.257) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Diamondbacks are just 89-14 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

    The Diamondbacks are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

    The Padres are 19-5 (.792) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Padres are 5-19 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Padres are 24-14 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    The Diamondbacks are batting just .173 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 33% of their home games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

    Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

    Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

    Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,249 of their 3,734 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The Padres are batting .256 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    The Padres have won 59% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The Padres have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2

    Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Manuel Machado (Padres): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Joseph Musgrove (Padres): COVID-19, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.