Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 10

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Phillies TV Channel: DBTV | NSP+ | ESUN

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 3-9 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 2-0, 0.90 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 1-1, 4.98 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -140O 8.5 -118+155
Phillies -1.5 +115U 8.5 -102-190

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Fernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+11.00 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-3 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 32.24% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 13.04% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 25% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -33.1% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 3-9 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -46.56% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -14.7% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.75% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -11.11% ROI

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are just 73-15 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Diamondbacks are just 66-19 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 17-51 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 29-98 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Phillies were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .128 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .278 (318 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .128 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of .764 (4,376 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .159 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .238 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.