- The Phillies (28-29) are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (28-31)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (4-1), 2.396 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (3-2), 4.395 ERA
- Watch the game on NBC 10
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 28-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 29-28 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+13.45 Units / 101% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+10.20 Units / 93% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 35-24 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 11.25% ROI).
- 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.17% ROI
- 24-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -20.16% ROI
- 34-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 10.72% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 29-28 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.57% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 33-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 13.95% ROI
- 22-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.05 Units / -22.5% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (16-for-96) against Zac Gallen this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .223 (103 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 98th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .552 (37 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.011 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/72) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of 27% (14 SO in 52 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (247/516) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has struck out just 13% (13/103) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (16-for-42) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 77-21 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 25-141 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Diamondbacks are just 85-14 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 5-22 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Phillies are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Phillies are just 59-79 (.428) on the road since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Phillies are just 11-17 (.393) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .216 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 34% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,060 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Phillies hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Phillies hitters have 629 strikeouts in 2,589 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies are batting .384 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D10
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hamstring, D60
- Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10
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