Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies (28-29) are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (28-31)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (4-1), 2.396 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (3-2), 4.395 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBC 10

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 28-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 29-28 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -160O 8.5 -110+120
Phillies -1.5 +135U 8.5 -110-145

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+13.45 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+10.20 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 35-24 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 11.25% ROI).

  • 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.17% ROI
  • 24-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -20.16% ROI
  • 34-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 10.72% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 29-28 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.57% ROI).

  • 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -7.53% ROI
  • 33-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 13.95% ROI
  • 22-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.05 Units / -22.5% ROI

Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (16-for-96) against Zac Gallen this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .223 (103 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 98th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .552 (37 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.011 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/72) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of 27% (14 SO in 52 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (247/516) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has struck out just 13% (13/103) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .381 (16-for-42) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Diamondbacks are just 77-21 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 25-141 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Diamondbacks are just 85-14 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Phillies are 5-22 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Phillies are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Phillies are just 59-79 (.428) on the road since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Phillies are just 11-17 (.393) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .216 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 34% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,060 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Phillies hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Phillies hitters have 629 strikeouts in 2,589 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Phillies are batting .384 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hamstring, D60
  • Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.