- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Phillies TV Channel: ATV+
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 40-34 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 5-4, 6.08 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-2, 5.40 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 10 -115 | +110 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | U 10 -105 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+18.50 Units / 88% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+17.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+16.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (+6.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 59 games (+21.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games at home (+17.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 35-40 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -10.14% ROI).
- 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.55% ROI
- 36-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -5.83% ROI
- 37-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -2.5% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 40-34 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.74% ROI).
- 49-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 10.77% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 1.91% ROI
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 16% (63 SO in 383 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 18% (121 SO in 665 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 22nd Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 96 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (52/86) against Taijuan Walker vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 72 of Taijuan Walker’s 390 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (269/784) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (19/27) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Diamondbacks are just 102-9 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 165-15 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 4-19 (.174) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Phillies are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Phillies are 43-5 (.896) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Phillies are 8-15 (.348) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 68% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .262 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .253 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .327 (1,906 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies hitters are slugging .422 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Phillies are batting .250 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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