Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

min read
FILE - Philadelphia Phillies' Brandon Marsh hits a home run during the eighth inning of Game 3 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Atlanta Braves Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Philadelphia. Brandon Marsh underwent successful left knee arthroscopic debridement surgery with Dr. Steven Cohen in Philadelphia, Friday morning Feb. 9, 2024. It is anticipated he will return to playing in three to four weeks and be ready to play opening day.(AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)
(AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Phillies TV Channel: ATV+

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 40-34 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 5-4, 6.08 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-2, 5.40 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -175O 10 -115+110
Phillies -1.5 +145U 10 -105-130

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+18.50 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+17.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+16.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (+6.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 59 games (+21.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games at home (+17.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 35-40 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -10.14% ROI).

  • 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.55% ROI
  • 36-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -5.83% ROI
  • 37-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -2.5% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 40-34 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 6.74% ROI).

  • 49-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 10.77% ROI
  • 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -10.86% ROI
  • 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 1.91% ROI

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Phillies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Montgomery (ARI) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
Taijuan Walker (PHI) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 16% (63 SO in 383 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 18% (121 SO in 665 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 22nd Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 96 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (52/86) against Taijuan Walker vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 72 of Taijuan Walker’s 390 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (269/784) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (19/27) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Diamondbacks are just 102-9 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 165-15 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Phillies are 4-19 (.174) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Phillies are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Phillies are 43-5 (.896) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Phillies are 8-15 (.348) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in 68% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Diamondbacks are batting .262 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Phillies are batting .253 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .327 (1,906 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Phillies hitters are slugging .422 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

The Phillies are batting .250 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.