- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+190) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 38-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 40-35 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 2-2, 6.12 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 8-4, 2.86 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 +100 | O 9 -120 | +190 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -120 | U 9 +100 | -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+18.50 Units / 88% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 48 games (+9.90 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+18.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+13.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (+7.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+20.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 58 games (+19.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 57 games (+18.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games at home (+15.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 36-40 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -8.99% ROI).
- 38-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -7.17% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.27% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 40-35 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 5.55% ROI).
- 49-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 9.5% ROI
- 32-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -12.15% ROI
- 38-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 3.1% ROI
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/47) against Tommy Henry this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (1/17) against Tommy Henry with two-strikes this month (2 games) — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/47) against Tommy Henry this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/47) against Tommy Henry over the last 14 days — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .195 (169 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (495/1,159) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .229 (36 Total Bases / 157 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .146 (23-for-157) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Diamondbacks are 19-3 (.864) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.
The Diamondbacks are 11-3 (.786) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Diamondbacks are 33-8 (.805) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Phillies are 43-5 (.896) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Phillies are 8-16 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Phillies are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .299 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .327 (1,916 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Phillies have scored first in 77% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .239 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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