• The Diamondbacks are -105 favorites vs the Pirates
• Diamondbacks vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Pirates TV Channel: DBTV | SNPT

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on July 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 55-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-51 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 5-1, 4.43 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 3-8, 4.46 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+18.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.10 Units / 45% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 112% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 58% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+12.95 Units / 162% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+16.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+5.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-48 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.45% ROI).

• 55-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 2.96% ROI
• 45-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -13.82% ROI
• 56-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 5.91% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-51 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.05% ROI).

• 55-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -4.01% ROI
• 61-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.85 Units / 11.76% ROI
• 43-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.9 Units / -20.31% ROI

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Pirates are 31-21 (.596) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Pirates are just 24-30 (.444) after a win this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Pirates are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Pirates are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks have won just 56% of games in which they have scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have won just 42% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in 62% of their games against division opponents this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 43% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates have scored in at least three different innings in 59% of their games this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Games involving the Pirates went OVER in 66% of their games (24.6% ROI) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Pirates have scored first in 62% of their games against division opponents this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Games involving the Pirates went OVER in 58% of their games (12.3% ROI) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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