- The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Pirates TV Channel: DBTV | SNPT
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on July 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 56-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-51 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 9-3, 2.64 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-1, 3.72 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+18.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+11.95 Units / 133% ROI)
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+16.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-48 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.45% ROI).
- 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -12.84% ROI
- 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 5.02% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-51 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.04% ROI).
- 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 62-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.85 Units / 12.48% ROI
- 43-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.9 Units / -20.98% ROI
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Esmerlyn Valdez | +310 |
| Ketel Marte | +340 |
| Corbin Carroll | +340 |
| Brandon Lowe | +375 |
| Marcell Ozuna | +400 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tim Tawa | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Max Kepler | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).
The Diamondbacks are 49-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Pirates are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Pirates are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Pirates are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.
The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .865 (195 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,023 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .352 (2,187 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,023 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates have allowed 5.16 runs per game (289/56) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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