Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski follows through on a single during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Saturday, June 24, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Pirates TV Channel: DBTV | SNPT

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on July 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 56-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-51 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 9-3, 2.64 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-1, 3.72 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -190O 8.5 -115+110
Pirates -1.5 +155U 8.5 -105-135

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+18.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+11.95 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+16.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-48 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.45% ROI).

  • 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 3.73% ROI
  • 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -12.84% ROI
  • 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 5.02% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-51 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.04% ROI).

  • 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 62-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.85 Units / 12.48% ROI
  • 43-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.9 Units / -20.98% ROI

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Esmerlyn Valdez +310
Ketel Marte +340
Corbin Carroll +340
Brandon Lowe +375
Marcell Ozuna +400

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ketel Marte 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Esmerlyn Valdez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tim Tawa 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Max Kepler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 49-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Pirates are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Pirates are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Pirates are just 24-31 (.436) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Pirates are 42-11 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .865 (195 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,023 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .352 (2,187 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .780 (3,023 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 5.16 runs per game (289/56) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.