- The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Pirates
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+150) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Diamondbacks vs Pirates Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 23-20 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | -185 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | +150 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+12.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+6.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.30 Units / 70% ROI)
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Rojas | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Johan Oviedo | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 25-19 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 9.58% ROI).
- 25-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 13.91% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -8.19% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 23-20 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 23-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 12.46% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -8.35% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.85% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .446 (98 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .719 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Zac Gallen on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (2 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .412 — 98th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .134 (127 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a strike rate of just 59% (106/179) when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (31/50) against Johan Oviedo in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .305 (29-for-95) against Johan Oviedo this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (29/184) against Johan Oviedo on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Diamondbacks are just 20-11 (.645) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Diamondbacks are 6-2 (.750) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Diamondbacks are just 85-7 (.924) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Pirates are just 8-92 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Pirates are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Pirates are just 4-97 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Pirates are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .208 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/7,664) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 25% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .377 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .291 over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Pirates are batting just .149 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Pirates are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .572 (391 PA’s) over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 75% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 734 of 7,848 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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