- The Rangers are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Monday, August 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX, TX.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 57-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 63-55 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 6-3, 3.19 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 10-3, 1.38 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -110 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -110 | -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+19.00 Units / 190% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 112% ROI)
- Ryne Nelson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.50 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 57 of their last 102 games (+19.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 102 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 away games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+8.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+16.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+13.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+9.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 55-63 against the Run Line (-18.11 Units / -11.74% ROI).
- 57-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.2 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.06% ROI
- 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -6.26% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 63-55 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 1.02% ROI).
- 60-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -3.87% ROI
- 49-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.95 Units / -18.63% ROI
- 68-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 9.97% ROI
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joc Pederson (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -190 | 5.5 +145 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .101 (11-for-109) against Ryne Nelson’s elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .215 — 100th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (341/512) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (22-for-132) against Ryne Nelson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 49 of Ryne Nelson’s 207 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 24%) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 31% — fifth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .110 (16 GB hits out of 145 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .499 (421 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .713 — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .457 (210 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .698 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .225 (209 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 46-12 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 51-5 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Diamondbacks are just 49-10 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Diamondbacks are just 127-10 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 17-24 (.415) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 27-36 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 4-32 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .220 (2,298 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .356 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (2,127 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rangers hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
