Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 20-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 19-20 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-3, 4.74 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-3, 5.18 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -190O 8 +100+105
Rangers -1.5 +155U 8 -120-125

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jorge Barrosa has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 24 games at home (+18.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.20 Units / 33% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 25-14 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 10.32% ROI).

  • 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 2.61% ROI
  • 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.57% ROI
  • 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -8.67% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-20 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -10.04% ROI).

  • 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 15-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -25.08% ROI
  • 24-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 17.54% ROI

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ketel Marte +350
Corey Seager +375
Jake Burger +425
Corbin Carroll +450
Joc Pederson +475

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Josh Jung 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Fernandez 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jake Burger 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Josh Jung 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Diamondbacks are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Diamondbacks are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Diamondbacks are just 75-21 (.781) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Rangers are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Rangers are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Rangers are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .239 (164 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .173 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .256 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,016 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .277 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .314 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .559 (359 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (359 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have allowed 1.05 runs per game (43/41) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (171.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Rangers have allowed 2.63 runs per game (50/19) at home this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.