• The Rays are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Diamondbacks vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Rays TV Channel: DBTV | RATV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+154) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-190) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 41-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 46-34 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-7, 5.74 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 6-4, 2.61 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tommy Troy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Adrian Del Castillo has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+18.75 Units / 75% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 50 games (+23.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+19.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+13.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-35 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 2.89% ROI).

• 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -2.11% ROI
• 34-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.15 Units / -15.64% ROI
• 44-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +7 Units / 7.77% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 46-34 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 17.61% ROI).

• 47-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 8.77% ROI
• 36-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -8.99% ROI
• 40-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI

Rays vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Diamondbacks are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .942.

The Diamondbacks are just 99-16 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Diamondbacks are just 88-23 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rays are 30-12 (.714) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Rays are 30-16 (.652) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Rays are 9-26 (.257) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Rays are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .324 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .900 (152 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .204 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 690 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .270 (718 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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