Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

Boston Red Sox rookie Roman Anthony celebrates after his two RBI double, his first major league hit, during the first inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park, Tuesday, June 10, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
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  • The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on August 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mitch Bratt 1-1, 3.71 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -165O 9 -118+125
Red Sox -1.5 +135U 9 -102-150

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.20 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+13.55 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+11.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+5.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games (+16.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Willson Contreras +310
Wilyer Abreu +350
Ceddanne Rafaela +425
Corbin Carroll +425
Ketel Marte +425

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Caleb Durbin 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jahmai Jones 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Andruw Monasterio 0.5 -210 0.5 +140

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Willson Contreras 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Jahmai Jones 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Max Kepler 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were 6-65 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,255 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .251 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .257 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .429 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (554.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.58 runs per game (229/64) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.