- The Red Sox are -170 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-170) on August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 66-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 62-60 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-1, 3.11 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 8-6, 2.99 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -105 | +140 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -170 |
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+17.30 Units / 192% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+14.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+16.80 Units / 112% ROI)
- Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+5.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+19.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+17.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 67-56 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.26% ROI).
- 66-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 4.46% ROI
- 54-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -14.07% ROI
- 67-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 5.86% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 62-60 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 2.39% ROI).
- 68-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -2.35% ROI
- 58-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -9.4% ROI
- 64-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu | +310 |
| Willson Contreras | +340 |
| Corbin Carroll | +390 |
| Nolan Arenado | +400 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | +450 |
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +160 |
| Caleb Durbin | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Fernandez | 0.5 -295 | 0.5 +190 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +160 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +138 |
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks were 65-19 (.774) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .258 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .430 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox are batting .180 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have allowed 0.97 runs per game (122/126) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.58 runs per game (229/64) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
