Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (26-31) are +100 favorites vs the Reds (20-35)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (4-3), 3.661 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (0-1), 11.25 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Diamondbacks vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-30 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +150O 9.5 -115+100
Reds +1.5 -185U 9.5 -105-120

Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+13.15 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+6.45 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+14.50 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 35 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 33-24 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 9.07% ROI).

  • 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -17.46% ROI
  • 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 7.96% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 25-30 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -12.02% ROI).

  • 20-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -18.98% ROI
  • 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 5.35% ROI
  • 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -15.5% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .147 (5-for-34) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .185 (5-for-27) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.

32% of Merrill Kelly’s strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (21 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — 11th Percentile.

Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

20 of Mike Minor’s 63 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Mike Minor has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (284/689) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.

Mike Minor has walked 3 of 130 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Mike Minor has not walked a batter in his last 19.2 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 20.2.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Diamondbacks are just 76-21 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are just 84-14 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 41-97 (.297) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Reds are just 2-120 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Reds are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Reds are just 19-28 (.404) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .193 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .215 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.

Reds hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

The Reds are batting just .203 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Reds pitchers have walked 833 of 8,283 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (241.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.

Reds pitchers have walked 216 of 2,084 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.