- The Diamondbacks (26-31) are +100 favorites vs the Reds (20-35)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (4-3), 3.661 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (0-1), 11.25 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-30 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -115 | +100 |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -105 | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+13.15 Units / 116% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+6.45 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+14.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 35 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 33-24 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 9.07% ROI).
- 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.73% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -17.46% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 7.96% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 25-30 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -12.02% ROI).
- 20-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -18.98% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -15.5% ROI
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .147 (5-for-34) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (5-for-27) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.
32% of Merrill Kelly’s strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (21 Total Bases / 37 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — 11th Percentile.
Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Mike Minor’s 63 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Mike Minor has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (284/689) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Mike Minor has walked 3 of 130 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Minor has not walked a batter in his last 19.2 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 20.2.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 76-21 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 84-14 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 41-97 (.297) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 2-120 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Reds are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Reds are just 19-28 (.404) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .193 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .215 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Reds hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
The Reds are batting just .203 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 833 of 8,283 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.56 (241.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.
Reds pitchers have walked 216 of 2,084 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
- Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10
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