- The – (36-20) are favorites vs the – (36-20)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-3), 4.179 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (2-5), 5.43 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 27-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-31 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s matchup with 68.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+11.80 Units / 96% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 66% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 34-24 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 10.17% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 2.32% ROI
- 24-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -18.76% ROI
- 33-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 9.36% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 25-31 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -13.32% ROI).
- 20-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 3.64% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -13.58% ROI
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 69% of the time (164/237) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has struck out just 12% (14/116) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (480/904) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has a strike rate of just 62% (324/519) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Tyler Mahle: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Mahle has walked 17 of 98 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has walked 21 of 140 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has a strikeout rate of 39% (30 SO in 77 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has a strike rate of just 61% (171/280) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are just 77-21 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Diamondbacks are just 85-14 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are 10-2 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.
The Reds are just 7-27 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Reds are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Reds are just 8-20 (.286) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .213 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .210 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 33% of their home games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (990 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Reds hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
The Reds are batting just .203 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds pitchers have walked 221 of 2,128 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (250.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day
- Luke Weaver (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Christian Walker (Diamondbacks): Head, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D10
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