- The Diamondbacks are + favorites vs the Rockies
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+) on Wednesday, August 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 59-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 57-61 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | + + | O + | + |
| Rockies | + + | U + | + |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 51 away games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 away games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+3.99 Units / 7% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 30 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 64-54 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.22% ROI).
- 59-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 49-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.25 Units / -15.34% ROI
- 62-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 7.32% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 57-61 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.73% ROI).
- 45-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -9.3% ROI
- 49-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.65 Units / -19.79% ROI
- 68-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +15 Units / 11.72% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents did not chase any pitches out of the zone against Slade Cecconi — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .646 (128 Total Bases / 198 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .428 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (146-for-496) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 22% (32 SO in 145 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 10% (11 SO in 106 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 114-12 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-20 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Diamondbacks are just 48-35 (.578) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 11-9 (.550) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rockies are just 34-20 (.630) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 54-49 (.524) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 75-38 (.664) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 675 strikeouts in 3,316 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 22% of swings this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,318 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Rockies have won just 51% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.09 (517.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Diamondbacks): Back, D10
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
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