- The Rockies (33-43) are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (34-42)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (6-5), 3.64 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-4), 4.65 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-120) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 39-37 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 11.5 -105 | +100 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +145 | U 11.5 -115 | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 75.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+16.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.55 Units / 81% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Antonio Senzatela | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -185 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 71% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 4.22% ROI).
- 34-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -4.19% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -13.85% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 4.91% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-37 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 33-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -3.18% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -2.15% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -7.29% ROI
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .154 (8-for-52) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 94th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 67% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 91st Percentile and 65% when behind in the count this season (eighth lowest among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (19/106) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 13th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 71% (269/381) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .475 (19-for-40) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .337 (35-for-104) against Antonio Senzatela’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .363 (89-for-245) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .377 (61-for-162) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 82-21 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 90-14 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Diamondbacks are just 33-38 (.465) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 12-23 (.343) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rockies are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .140 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .183 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .640 (4,275 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Right Shoulder inflammation, D15
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