Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rockies (33-43) are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (34-42)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (6-5), 3.64 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-4), 4.65 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-120) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 39-37 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -175O 11.5 -105+100
Rockies -1.5 +145U 11.5 -115-120

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 75.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+16.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.40 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.55 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
C.J. Cron 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Connor Joe 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
C.J. Cron 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Connor Joe 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
C.J. Cron 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Connor Joe 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Elias Diaz 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Merrill Kelly 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
Antonio Senzatela 3.5 +125 3.5 -185
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 71% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 4.22% ROI).

  • 34-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -4.19% ROI
  • 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -13.85% ROI
  • 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 4.91% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-37 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • 33-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -3.18% ROI
  • 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -2.15% ROI
  • 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -7.29% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .154 (8-for-52) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 94th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 67% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 91st Percentile and 65% when behind in the count this season (eighth lowest among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (19/106) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 13th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 71% (269/381) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .475 (19-for-40) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .337 (35-for-104) against Antonio Senzatela’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .363 (89-for-245) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .377 (61-for-162) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 82-21 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 90-14 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 33-38 (.465) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 12-23 (.343) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Rockies are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rockies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .140 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .183 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .640 (4,275 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.2 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Right Shoulder inflammation, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.