Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rockies (33-44) are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (35-42)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel (2-5), 7.92 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber (3-7), 6.55 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-145) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 35-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 39-38 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -145O 12.5 -105+120
Rockies -1.5 +120U 12.5 -115-145

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 70.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+17.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.50 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+5.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
C.J. Cron 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Connor Joe 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +130 1.5 -185
C.J. Cron 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +110 1.5 -160
Connor Joe 1.5 +140 1.5 -200
Elias Diaz 1.5 +190 1.5 -275

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
C.J. Cron 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Connor Joe 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Elias Diaz 0.5 +125 0.5 -175

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Gomber 3.5 +120 3.5 -175
Dallas Keuchel 2.5 +100 2.5 -140
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 55 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 away games (+3.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 66 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.45 Units / 47% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 43-34 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 5.14% ROI).

  • 35-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -2.96% ROI
  • 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -12.47% ROI
  • 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 3.63% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-38 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -5.74% ROI).

  • 33-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -4.58% ROI
  • 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.94% ROI
  • 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -8.44% ROI

Dallas Keuchel has a strike rate of just 56% (493/875) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has struck out just 13% (92/721) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (901/1,421) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has allowed an OBP of .319 (389 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .313 (63-for-201) against Austin Gomber this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .417 (15-for-36) against Austin Gomber’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has walked 9 of 56 batters (16%) in late innings since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Austin Gomber has an ERA of 6.55 (67.1 IP)this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 3.83 — fourth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 83-21 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Diamondbacks are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 91-14 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 12-23 (.343) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Rockies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Rockies are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .168 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Rockies are batting .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have won just 40% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers are throwing just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Right Shoulder inflammation, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.