Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (35-43) are -115 favorites vs the Rockies (34-44)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (4-2), 3.31 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chad Kuhl (5-5), 3.49 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 35-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 40-38 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +125O 11 +100-115
Rockies +1.5 -150U 11 -120-105

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 73% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
C.J. Cron 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Connor Joe 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Elias Diaz 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +140 1.5 -200
C.J. Cron 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Connor Joe 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Elias Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
C.J. Cron 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Connor Joe 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Elias Diaz 0.5 +120 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Kuhl 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
Zac Gallen 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 56 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 36 away games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 away games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 67 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 63 games (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.45 Units / 52% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 43-35 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 3.85% ROI).

  • 35-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -4.09% ROI
  • 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -11.14% ROI
  • 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 2.31% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -4.61% ROI).

  • 34-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -3.31% ROI
  • 39-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.23% ROI
  • 35-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -9.61% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (16/98) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (10 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 57 opportunities (0%) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (tied for sixth lowest)– 10th Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (fourth highest among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.

Chad Kuhl: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chad Kuhl did not allow a runner to reach base (16 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters batted just .000 (0-for-16) against Chad Kuhl — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile..

Chad Kuhl has thrown his fastball for a strike just 56% (618/1,104) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Chad Kuhl has allowed a slugging percentage of .689 (31 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 83-21 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 91-14 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Diamondbacks are just 34-39 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rockies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rockies are just 6-34 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .186 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .217 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .139 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Rockies are batting .299 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .278 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers are throwing just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Right Shoulder inflammation, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.