- The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Rockies
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson, 13.50 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña, 2.57 ERA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Friday, March 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 6-7 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +130 | O 11.5 -120 | -120 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | U 11.5 +100 | +100 |
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+4.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Garrett Hampson has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 111 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -3.55% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -5.9% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 8.97% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -16.45% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -16.48% ROI).
- 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -30.94% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -47.55% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 40.56% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has limited playing time.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (61/120) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (333/618) of opposing batters since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit .329 (68-for-207) against Jose Urena last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Jose Urena located 64% of his pitches down (573/897) vs left-handed batters last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 54-17 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 15-55 (.214) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Rockies are just 61-76 (.445) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rockies are 13-73 (.151) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Diamondbacks batted just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of just .292 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .632 (5,954 PA’s) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 407.8 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers last season traveled 498.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.1
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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