Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rockies (59-79) are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (65-71)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.74 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (8-10), 4.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-120) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 64-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 72-62 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -185O 10 -105+100
Rockies -1.5 +150U 10 -115-120

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 45 games at home (+11.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
C.J. Cron 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Elias Diaz 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +150 1.5 -200
C.J. Cron 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +195 1.5 -300
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
C.J. Cron 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Elias Diaz 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
German Marquez 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
Zach Davies 3.5 +125 3.5 -185
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 58 games (+29.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 42 away games (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 79-54 against the Run Line (+22.35 Units / 13.09% ROI).

  • 64-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.13% ROI
  • 61-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -8.55% ROI
  • 67-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -0.81% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 72-62 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 1.98% ROI).

  • 58-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.49% ROI
  • 64-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -4.76% ROI
  • 64-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -4.59% ROI

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (334/474) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 65% of the time (746/1,141) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (614/1,141) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (624/980) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

German Marquez has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (746/1,437) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 19% (124 SO in 656 PAs) this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 17th Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .467 (278 Total Bases / 595 ABs) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — seventh Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .040 (1-for-25) against German Marquez — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 105-32 (.766) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 48-13 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 21-46 (.313) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are just 12-32 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 11-60 (.155) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .361 (1,377 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,716 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 498.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.4

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.0 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.5

Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 119 double plays in 974 opportunities (12%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.