- The Diamondbacks (55-66) are -125 favorites vs the Royals (50-74)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.99 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (1-7), 5.60 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 54-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 57-64 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -115 | -125 |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -105 | +105 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 43 of his last 82 games (+21.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 away games (+14.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 55 of his last 82 games (+13.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 54 away games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 52 of his last 82 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 43 games (+19.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 34 away games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+18.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 60% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 68-50 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.59% ROI).
- 54-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.1 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 3.79% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 57-64 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -11.52% ROI).
- 50-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -7.21% ROI
- 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -5.27% ROI
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 71% of the time (291/409) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 34% of Zach Davies’ fastballs (752/2,177) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (574/1,076) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (532/838) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 56% (154/273) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 57% (304/533) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 61% (673/1,105) this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Jon Heasley has allowed an OPS of .859 (278 PA’s) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .701 — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 97-29 (.770) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-19 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 52-116 (.310) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-168 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are just 3-33 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Royals are just 6-53 (.102) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Royals are just 9-32 (.220) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Royals are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .286 (541 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 569 strikeouts in 2,926 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .978 (2,045 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters have just 670 strikeouts in 3,387 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals are batting just .169 on the road this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 1,057 of 10,918 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 466 of 4,791 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have allowed 1.75 runs per game (217/124) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
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