- The Diamondbacks (56-66) are -130 favorites vs the Royals (50-75)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (9-2), 2.78 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (6-4), 3.27 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Diamondbacks vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 55-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 57-65 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -120 | -130 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 +100 | +110 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 43 of his last 83 games (+20.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 55 of his last 83 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 53 of his last 83 games (+11.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Drew Waters | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1500 | 0.5 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Drew Waters | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Drew Waters | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 44 games (+18.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+19.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 70% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 69-50 against the Run Line (+15.95 Units / 10.41% ROI).
- 55-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 52-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -12.34% ROI
- 62-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.92% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 57-65 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -12.37% ROI).
- 50-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -7.93% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -6.05% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen had a first-pitch strike rate of 92% (23/25) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .195 (93-for-476) against Zac Gallen this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (110/512) against Zac Gallen this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (16-for-121) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has struck out 39% (16/41) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (539/904) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (237/1,033) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (1,055/2,878) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 97-29 (.770) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 108-19 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 24-34 (.414) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are just 3-33 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 6-54 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Royals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 30-35 (.462) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .285 (544 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .980 (2,053 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters have just 571 strikeouts in 2,930 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are batting just .169 on the road this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Royals hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 1,066 of 10,966 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 475 of 4,839 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
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