- The Royals are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Drey Jameson, 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer, 5.40 ERA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-140) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Diamondbacks vs Royals Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 7-1 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | O 11 -120 | +115 |
| Royals | -1.5 +130 | U 11 +100 | -140 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Buddy Kennedy has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -7.5% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -12.8% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -20.74% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 13.18% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 7-1 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 60.54% ROI).
- 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 68.68% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 43.02% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -51.15% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drey Jameson had a strikeout rate of 50% (10/20) with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .061 (3-for-49) against Drey Jameson with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .162 — 99th Percentile.
Drey Jameson allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (20/32) against Drey Jameson over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 24% (289/1,210) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,480/2,443) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .459 (230 Total Bases / 501 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .558 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (1,492/4,090) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Royals are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,264 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters slugged just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .991 (2,308 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,180 of 12,376 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 405.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Royals pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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