- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Tigers TV Channel: DBTV | FDDT
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 52-55 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 3-6, 5.49 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Troy Melton 0-1, 10.81 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +154 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jahmai Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 102% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 90 games (+15.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 90 games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 away games (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 78% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 107 games (+13.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games at home (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+7.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 79 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 107 games (+6.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 49-57 against the Run Line (-14.41 Units / -10.59% ROI).
- 51-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -12.28% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -8.46% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 52-55 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -7.22% ROI).
- 61-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -7.75% ROI
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Troy Melton (DET) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (48 Total Bases / 77 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 0 Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of 1.185 (94 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .738 — 0 Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez threw just 37% of his pitches in the strike zone (33/90) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (28-for-77) against Eduardo Rodriguez’s changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Troy Melton has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 41-11 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .879.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-9 (.931) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 46-4 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Diamondbacks are just 44-9 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are 34-4 (.895) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Tigers are 23-8 (.742) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Tigers are 73-8 (.901) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Tigers are 8-99 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .456 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Diamondbacks hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .535 (345 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Tigers hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers hitters have struck out in 35% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Tigers hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 49% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the past seven days (6 games) — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 1% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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