- The Tigers are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Tigers TV Channel: DBTV | FDDT
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-140) on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 53-55 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 10-6, 4.77 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 9-4, 3.41 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -170 | O 8.5 -102 | +115 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -118 | -140 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+8.55 Units / 142% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 88% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 91 games (+14.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 91 games (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 away games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 85% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 108 games (+14.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+9.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 61 of their last 108 games (+7.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 105 games (+6.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 49-58 against the Run Line (-16.26 Units / -11.79% ROI).
- 51-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -1.01% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -7.53% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 53-55 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -6.01% ROI).
- 62-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 2.02% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -1.18% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -6.85% ROI
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .386 (86 Total Bases / 223 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .276 (53-for-192) against Brandon Pfaadt’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .664 (248 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .481 — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .516 (99 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — third Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has a strike rate of 71% (207/292) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 44 of Casey Mize’s 204 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Casey Mize has a in-zone of 66% (366/551) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 59% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 113 of Casey Mize’s 533 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 46-4 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Diamondbacks are just 41-11 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .880.
The Diamondbacks are just 44-9 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are 35-4 (.897) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
The Tigers are 37-24 (.607) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Tigers are 24-8 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Tigers are 65-14 (.823) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .776 (7,196 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters over the last 14 days — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have 125 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 14% of left-handed batters they faced over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 1% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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