- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Tigers TV Channel: DBTV | FDDT | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-130) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 54-55 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 6-2, 3.28 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 3-9, 4.95 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +154 | U 9 -115 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+10.10 Units / 144% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+8.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.80 Units / 295% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 62% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 92 games (+13.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 92 games (+11.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 64% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 63 of their last 109 games (+15.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+12.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 109 games (+8.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 106 games (+7.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 49-59 against the Run Line (-17.81 Units / -12.77% ROI).
- 51-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.45 Units / -13.49% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -8.4% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 54-55 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -4.99% ROI).
- 63-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.34% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -7.7% ROI
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Chris Paddack (DET) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .103 (10-for-97) against Ryne Nelson’s elevated fastball this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .215 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Ryne Nelson in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .157 (24-for-153) against Ryne Nelson this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .174 vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (47/132) against Chris Paddack when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .296 (63-for-213) against Chris Paddack this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Chris Paddack has walked 5% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 19% (28 SO in 146 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 44-9 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Diamondbacks are just 46-4 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Diamondbacks are just 117-18 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 41-11 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are 75-8 (.904) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 44-7 (.863) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Tigers are 36-4 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .454 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,123 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of .331 (1,123 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 3% of their PA’s over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers are batting .264 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (24 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.59 (243.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
