Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Diamondbacks vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 38-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 32-29 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks O
Tigers U

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Christian Walker 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Pavin Smith 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Zack Short 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Pavin Smith 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Zack Short 0.5 -155 0.5 +120

Tigers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Baez 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Christian Walker 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Pavin Smith 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Zack Short 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matthew Boyd 4.5 +110 4.5 -145
Ryne Nelson 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games (+15.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 38-25 against the Run Line (+13.45 Units / 17.35% ROI).

  • 38-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 18.7% ROI
  • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.89% ROI
  • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -3.22% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 32-29 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -2.28% ROI).

  • 26-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.59% ROI
  • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.61% ROI
  • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -6.66% ROI

Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 27% (37 SO in 137 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (28/209) against Ryne Nelson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (25/152) against Ryne Nelson with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has struck out just 10% (12/125) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.043 (24 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .596 — first Percentile.

Matthew Boyd has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (100/231) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (35/81) against Matthew Boyd on changeups this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 95th Percentile.

Matthew Boyd allowed a batting average of .301 at home (12th worst)– 10th Percentile and just .193 on the road this season (eighth best among non-qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks were just 54-17 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Diamondbacks were just 13-7 (.650) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Diamondbacks were just 63-6 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Tigers were 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Tigers were just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Tigers were just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,688 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .539 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .439 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/8,340) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (2,559 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (6,185 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .346 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (8,171 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 177 of 1,971 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 172 of 2,294 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
  • Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
  • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
  • Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, D10
  • Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
  • Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
  • Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.