- The – are favorites vs the –
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 38-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 32-29 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Ryne Nelson | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games (+15.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 38-25 against the Run Line (+13.45 Units / 17.35% ROI).
- 38-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 18.7% ROI
- 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -3.22% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 32-29 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -2.28% ROI).
- 26-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.59% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.61% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -6.66% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 27% (37 SO in 137 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (28/209) against Ryne Nelson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (25/152) against Ryne Nelson with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 10% (12/125) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.043 (24 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .596 — first Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (100/231) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (35/81) against Matthew Boyd on changeups this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 95th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd allowed a batting average of .301 at home (12th worst)– 10th Percentile and just .193 on the road this season (eighth best among non-qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks were just 54-17 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Diamondbacks were just 13-7 (.650) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Diamondbacks were just 63-6 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers were 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Tigers were just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers were just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Tigers were just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,688 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .539 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .439 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/8,340) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (2,559 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (6,185 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .346 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (8,171 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 177 of 1,971 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 172 of 2,294 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
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