- The – are favorites vs the –
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 39-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 32-30 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 63 games (+16.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 games (+13.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+5.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 39-25 against the Run Line (+14.8 Units / 18.85% ROI).
- 39-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.95 Units / 19.64% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.73% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 32-30 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -4.21% ROI).
- 26-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -3.24% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -5.06% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .162 (173 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (62/209) against Zac Gallen this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (68/210) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 89th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of just 16% (10 SO in 64 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .402 (33-for-82) against Joey Wentz versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .769 (40 Total Bases / 52 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .419 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed an OPS of .775 (132 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .526 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .409 (36-for-88) against Joey Wentz’s fastball this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .272 — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 98-9 (.916) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-15 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Diamondbacks are 8-2 (.800) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Diamondbacks are just 82-21 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are just 9-41 (.180) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Tigers are just 4-17 (.190) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Tigers are just 15-61 (.197) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,694 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Diamondbacks are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .548 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (2,571 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .635 (8,207 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (6,218 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (8,207 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 174 of 2,328 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, D10
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
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