Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 27, 2022, 9:28 AM
  • The Diamondbacks (57-67) are -115 favorites vs the White Sox (63-63)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 2.87 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (2-3), 4.25 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Saturday, August 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Diamondbacks vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-65 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 55-69 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +140O 8 -110-115
White Sox +1.5 -165U 8 -110-105

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 43 of his last 85 games (+18.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 56 of his last 85 games (+10.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 56 of his last 83 games (+25.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 60 of his last 85 games (+21.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 48 of his last 62 games at home (+20.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+18.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 85 games (+16.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 46 games (+20.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 37 away games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 68 of their last 126 games (+13.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 70-51 against the Run Line (+15.95 Units / 10.24% ROI).

  • 56-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.37% ROI
  • 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -10.6% ROI
  • 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.12% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 55-69 against the Run Line (-14.9 Units / -10.1% ROI).

  • 62-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -9.2% ROI
  • 55-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -7.1% ROI
  • 60-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 66% when ahead in the count (tied for 10th highest)– 84th Percentile and 66% when behind in the count this season (fifth lowest among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .122 (10-for-82) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 21% (86/411) against Merrill Kelly this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 16th Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 70% (453/648) in two strike counts this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 84th Percentile.

Davis Martin: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Diamondbacks are just 98-30 (.766) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 109-19 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 41-11 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The White Sox are just 5-47 (.096) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The White Sox are 58-16 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 5-53 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .521 (113 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .279 (555 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .215 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

White Sox hitters have 74 extra-base hits out of 254 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The White Sox are batting just .165 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (262 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Knee, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.