Dodgers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 16, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Dodgers (59-30) are -200 favorites vs the Angels (39-52)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (7-6), 3.01 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (1-3), 4.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+165) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Dodgers vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 59-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 42-49 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -120O 8.5 -105-200
Angels +1.5 +100U 8.5 -115+165

Dodgers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 46 away games (+17.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 45 of his last 86 games (+17.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)

Angels vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jared Walsh 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jo Adell 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jonathan Villar 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Max Stassi 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Angels vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jared Walsh 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
Jo Adell 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Jonathan Villar 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Max Stassi 0.5 -110 0.5 -125

Angels vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jared Walsh 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jo Adell 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Jonathan Villar 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Max Stassi 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Angels vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Suarez 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
Julio Urias 6.5 +110 6.5 -155
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 86 games (+13.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 89 games (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 85 games (+4.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 43 of their last 78 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 39 games at home (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 52-37 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 11.23% ROI).

  • 59-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -0.95% ROI
  • 34-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -18.33% ROI
  • 47-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.3 Units / 9.5% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 42-49 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -8.6% ROI).

  • 39-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.25 Units / -20.72% ROI
  • 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -8.28% ROI
  • 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.2% ROI

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (749/1,031) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed a slugging percentage of .534 (47 Total Bases / 88 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (11-for-78) against Julio Urias’ elevated fastball this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .200 (10-for-50) against Julio Urias on inside fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 87th Percentile.

José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Suarez has walked 19 of 176 batters (11%) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .352 (37-for-105) against Jose Suarez on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .257 — third Percentile.

Jose Suarez’s lowest spin rate on curveballs since the start of last season is 2254.0 RPM — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 1693.7

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (6/26) against Jose Suarez this month (2 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Dodgers are 54-12 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Dodgers are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 30-13 (.698) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Dodgers are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .883.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Angels are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 4-26 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Angels are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (6,853 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,440 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 696 walks in 6,853 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels hitters have 118 strikeouts in 346 PA’s (34%) against RHP this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have 155 strikeouts in 470 PA’s (33%) this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters are slugging just .258 this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Angels hitters have 649 strikeouts in 2,380 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (2,081 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have walked 218 of 3,211 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels pitchers have walked 14 of 112 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.