Dodgers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2023, 8:21 PM
  • The Angels are -145 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+120) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-145) on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Dodgers vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 40-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 38-37 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Dodgers +1.5 -160 O 8.5 +100 +120
Angels -1.5 +135 U 8.5 -120 -145

Dodgers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Dodgers vs Angels and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

     

    • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+16.95 Units / 23% ROI)
    • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.25 Units / 30% ROI)
    • David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
    • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
    • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)

     

      And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

         

        • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.35 Units / 67% ROI)
        • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
        • Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
        • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 63% ROI)
        • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI)

         

          Angels vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Will Smith 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
          Miguel Vargas 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
          Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
          Mike Trout 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
          Jason Heyward 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

          Angels vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Will Smith 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
          Miguel Vargas 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
          Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
          Mike Trout 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
          Jason Heyward 0.5 -120 0.5 -105

          Angels vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Will Smith 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
          Miguel Vargas 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
          Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
          Mike Trout 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
          Jason Heyward 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

          Angels vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Shohei Ohtani 7.5 +105 7.5 -135
          Michael Grove 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

             

            • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+11.25 Units / 19% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
            • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
                • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
                • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI)
                • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
                • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)

                 

                  Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 38-35 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 6.65% ROI).

                  • 40-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -8.08% ROI
                  • 40-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 11.68% ROI
                  • 28-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -19.07% ROI

                  Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 38-37 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -3.01% ROI).

                  • 41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.79% ROI
                  • 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -3.76% ROI
                  • 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -5.17% ROI

                  Michael Grove has an ERA of 8.10 (30.0 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 4.29 — 0 Percentile.

                  Michael Grove has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (74 Total Bases / 127 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .419 — first Percentile.

                  Opponents are hitting .307 (39-for-127) against Michael Grove this season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .251 — seventh Percentile.

                  Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (10/25) against Michael Grove on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

                  Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

                  Shohei Ohtani is slugging .623 (175 total bases in 281 ABs) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425 — 100th Percentile.

                  Shohei Ohtani is slugging .623 (175 total bases in 281 ABs) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .432 — 100th Percentile.

                  Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.053 (238 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .758 — 99th Percentile.

                  Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.002 (327 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754 — 100th Percentile.

                  Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

                  The Dodgers are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

                  The Dodgers are 72-46 (.610) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

                  The Dodgers are 150-70 (.682) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

                  The Dodgers are just 2-6 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.

                  Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

                  The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

                  The Angels are 13-9 (.591) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

                  The Angels are 3-29 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

                  The Angels are just 10-19 (.345) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

                  Dodgers hitters have 77 extra-base hits out of 152 total hits (51%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

                  Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .767 (2,779 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

                  Dodgers hitters have grounded into 119 double plays in 1,704 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

                  Dodgers hitters are slugging .437 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

                  Angels hitters have 1,604 strikeouts in 6,313 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

                  Angels hitters have an OBP of just .278 (677 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

                  Angels hitters have an OBP of just .310 (1,123 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

                  Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,539 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

                  Dodgers pitchers have walked 616 of 8,618 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Dodgers pitchers have walked 10 of 58 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

                  The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

                  The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

                  Angels pitchers have walked 68 of 666 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Angels pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

                  Angels pitchers have walked 15 of 119 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Angels pitchers have walked 810 of 8,903 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Angels vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

                     

                    • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D10
                    • José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
                    • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
                    • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
                    • Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
                    • Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D10
                    • Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
                    • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
                    • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
                    • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
                    • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
                    • Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
                    • Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15

                     

                         

                        • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
                        • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
                        • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
                        • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
                        • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
                        • Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
                        • Julio Urías (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
                        • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
                        • Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Back, D15
                        • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
                        • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
                        • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
                        • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
                        • Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
                        • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

                         


                          Bet now on Dodgers vs Angels and all games with BetMGM


                          Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

                          At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds, including NRFI odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

                          BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
                          About the Author

                          BetMGM Betting

                          Read More @BETMGM

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.