Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (43-25) are -135 favorites vs the Braves (41-30)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (4-6), 2.55 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Ian Anderson (6-3), 4.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+115) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Dodgers vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 43-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-35 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +115O 9 -105-135
Braves +1.5 -140U 9 -115+115

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 36 away games (+16.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 33 away games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 57 games (+25.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 57 games (+18.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 59 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 42 of his last 59 games (+15.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 56 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Austin Riley 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Matt Olson 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Austin Riley 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Austin Riley 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Matt Olson 0.5 +135 0.5 -200

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ian Anderson 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Julio Urias 5.5 -115 5.5 -125
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 away games (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 away games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.02 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 63 games (+6.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 39-29 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 8.77% ROI).

  • 43-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -6.42% ROI
  • 28-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -14.23% ROI
  • 35-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 5.34% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 36-35 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.6% ROI).

  • 41-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.18% ROI
  • 38-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 6.98% ROI
  • 30-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -15.13% ROI

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.8 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (112 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 88.0

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (718/989) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (257/716) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 80% (160/199) of left-handed hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Ian Anderson: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 61% (424/693) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.

Ian Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 64 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.

Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 61% (738/1,202) this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.

Ian Anderson has walked 16 of 172 right-handed batters (9%) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Dodgers are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Dodgers are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Dodgers are 40-10 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are just 1-26 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Braves are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Braves are 23-15 (.605) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Braves are 15-3 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

Dodgers hitters have 10 strikeouts in 27 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (1,883 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Braves hitters are slugging .744 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .566.

Braves hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .900 (508 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Braves hitters are slugging .479 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1031.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.