Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Braves (41-31) are -150 favorites vs the Dodgers (44-25)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-1), 3.85 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (7-2), 2.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Saturday, June 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Dodgers vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 44-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-36 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+1.5 -155O 8.5 +100+125
Braves -1.5 +125U 8.5 -120-150

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 69.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 37 away games (+17.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 34 away games (+13.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 58 games (+26.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 58 games (+19.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 60 games (+17.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 57 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 42 of his last 60 games (+13.75 Units / 14% ROI)

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Austin Riley 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Matt Olson 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Austin Riley 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Dansby Swanson 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Duvall 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Austin Riley 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Matt Olson 0.5 +110 0.5 -160

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Fried 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
Mitch White 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 69 games (+5.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.82 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 64 games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 40-29 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 10.2% ROI).

  • 44-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -5.64% ROI
  • 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -15.58% ROI
  • 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 6.58% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 36-36 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -3.15% ROI).

  • 41-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.07% ROI
  • 38-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 5.36% ROI
  • 31-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -13.68% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .141 (14-for-99) against Mitch White versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .213 — 97th Percentile.

33% of Mitch White’s strikeouts are looking since the start of last season — 13th highest among among 180 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (30/97) against Mitch White since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Mitch White has allowed a slugging percentage of just .202 (20 Total Bases / 99 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .337 — 96th Percentile.

Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (116 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Max Fried has a strike rate of 70% (262/376) in two strike counts this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 89th Percentile.

Max Fried has walked 15 of 350 batters (4%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .225 (129 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 97th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 21-4 (.840) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .674.

The Dodgers are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Dodgers are 20-12 (.625) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Dodgers are 163-35 (.823) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 15-3 (.833) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .674.

The Braves are just 33-5 (.868) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Braves are 18-15 (.545) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Braves are 28-5 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 649 walks in 6,331 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (1,918 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (6,331 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Braves hitters have 212 extra-base hits out of 489 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters are slugging .742 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Braves hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves hitters are slugging .471 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1040.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (5,327 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have walked 174 of 2,492 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.