Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 22, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
  • Watch the game on BSSO

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Dodgers vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 29-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 20-26 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+1.5 -150O 9.5 -120+125
Braves -1.5 +125U 9.5 +100-155

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 70.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.90 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Max Muncy 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Will Smith 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Matt Olson 0.5 +275 0.5 -450

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Max Muncy 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Will Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Matt Olson 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Max Muncy 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Will Smith 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Matt Olson 0.5 +125 0.5 -165

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gavin Stone 3.5 -130 3.5 +100
Charlie Morton 6.5 +110 6.5 -145
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+6.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 26-22 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 14.68% ROI).

  • 29-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.96% ROI
  • 26-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 5.64% ROI
  • 21-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -13.43% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 20-26 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -9.75% ROI).

  • 29-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 8.63% ROI
  • 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 14.83% ROI
  • 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -23.43% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (199/409) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (73/174) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (351/765) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (351/765) this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 93rd Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 23-10 (.697) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.

The Dodgers are 12-4 (.750) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Dodgers are just 2-5 (.286) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 27-19 (.587) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Braves are 8-7 (.533) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 4-10 (.286) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Dodgers hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 89 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Dodgers are batting just .205 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

Braves hitters are slugging .576 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .947 (528 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.

Braves hitters are slugging .692 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .564.

The Braves have scored first in 76% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 540 of 7,651 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Urías (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.