- The Dodgers (81-35) are -105 favorites vs the Brewers (62-54)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 1.16 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (8-5), 2.39 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 81-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 47-69 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +165 | O 7 +100 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -120 | -115 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+14.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 61 away games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 53 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mike Brosseau | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tyrone Taylor | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -125 |
| Corbin Burnes | 8.5 +110 | 8.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 113 games (+28.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 43 games (+21.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 112 games (+14.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 96 games (+14.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 96 games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 73-43 against the Run Line (+27.1 Units / 19.46% ROI).
- 81-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.05% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 6.06% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 47-69 against the Run Line (-28.2 Units / -19.99% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -10.31% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.92% ROI
Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (101/317) against Andrew Heaney since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (63/187) against Andrew Heaney in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 28 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Andrew Heaney. — the longest active streak is 35.
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (66/154) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (117/178) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (126/178) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (274/472) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 37-8 (.822) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
The Dodgers are 5-27 (.156) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Dodgers are 33-8 (.805) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Dodgers are 30-3 (.909) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Brewers are 32-30 (.516) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Brewers are 6-41 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,359 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,231 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (3,160 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (3,160 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging .433 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Brewers are batting just .225 at home since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1253.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,397 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (2,682 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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