Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (56-29) are -160 favorites vs the Cardinals (47-42)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-1), 3.37 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore (2-1), 4.74 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+135) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Dodgers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 56-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 47-42 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +105O 8.5 +100-160
Cardinals +1.5 -125U 8.5 -120+135

Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 39 away games (+15.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 42 away games (+13.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Cardinals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Juan Yepez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Cardinals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Juan Yepez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Cardinals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Romine 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Juan Yepez 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Cardinals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matthew Liberatore 3.5 +100 3.5 -140
Mitch White 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 85 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 84 games (+2.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.95 Units / 36% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 50-35 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 11.7% ROI).

  • 56-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 31-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -21.17% ROI
  • 46-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.6 Units / 12.41% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 47-42 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI).

  • 47-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -1.35% ROI
  • 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -10.22% ROI
  • 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.17% ROI

Mitch White has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 29.1.

Mitch White has walked 4 of 22 batters (18%) this month (1 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (5/27) against Mitch White — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Mitch White has allowed a slugging percentage of just .056 (1 Total Bases / 18 ABs) this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .407 — 100th Percentile.

Matthew Liberatore: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Matthew Liberatore this month (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 14th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Matthew Liberatore has a strike rate of just 59% (82/140) this month (2 games) — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .357 (10-for-28) against Matthew Liberatore on the road this month (2 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .238 — sixth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Dodgers are 25-6 (.806) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Dodgers are 22-5 (.815) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Dodgers are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Dodgers are 52-12 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cardinals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 26-18 (.591) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Cardinals are just 3-34 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Cardinals are 19-5 (.792) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 71% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Cardinals hitters have 192 extra-base hits out of 445 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have 219 extra-base hits out of 517 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,941 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 210 of 3,072 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 696 of 9,020 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Dodgers have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 206 of 2,208 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 89 double plays in 653 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.