- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+130) on Thursday, May 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Dodgers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 28-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 20-24 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 9 +100 | -155 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -120 | +130 |
Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Cardinals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Julio Urias | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+11.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+10.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.10 Units / 53% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 24-20 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 15.36% ROI).
- 28-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 3.16% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.05% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -9.9% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 20-24 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -11.95% ROI).
- 18-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -27.93% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -4.74% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -4.35% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (211/642) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 74% (180/243) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has walked 9 of 210 batters (4%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Julio Urias allowed an OBP of just .053 (19 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .253 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (85/553) against Adam Wainwright since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (779/1,342) when behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (911/1,687) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (2,916/4,563) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Dodgers are 7-55 (.113) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are 138-58 (.704) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Dodgers are 104-7 (.937) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Dodgers are just 2-5 (.286) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cardinals are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Cardinals are 20-5 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cardinals are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have 160 extra-base hits out of 336 total hits (48%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 79 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (5,723 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .401 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,309 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .776 (1,309 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 524 of 7,503 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.37 runs per game (340/101) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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