- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Sunday, May 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Dodgers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 29-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 21-26 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -110 | -140 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -110 | +115 |
Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 69.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.95 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 82% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.50 Units / 81% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Cardinals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
| Jack Flaherty | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 16.87% ROI).
- 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.91% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 3.84% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -11.49% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 21-26 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -13.76% ROI).
- 20-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -24.34% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -6.29% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (270/466) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has a strike rate of 71% (189/265) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (302/499) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .521 (48 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .526 (76 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 51 of 369 batters (14%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 29 of 202 batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Dodgers are 23-10 (.697) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Dodgers are 7-57 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are 139-59 (.702) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cardinals are just 15-3 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 28-31 (.475) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 87 total hits (54%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 103 double plays in 1,512 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,389 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Cardinals hitters have 297 extra-base hits out of 701 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .802 (1,788 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 536 of 7,612 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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