- The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Thursday, April 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-5 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | O 11 -115 | -105 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | U 11 -105 | -115 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.30 Units / 112% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 79% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 8-11 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -16.02% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -24.07% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -3.82% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.34% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 12-5 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 36.02% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 31.36% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -10.46% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (22/40) against Michael Grove on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .467 (7 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Michael Grove this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .244 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Michael Grove with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .257 — fifth Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .400 (14-for-35) against Michael Grove this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .248 — eighth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 436 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 43% (27/62) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Jameson Taillon on sliders this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (6/24) against Jameson Taillon this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Dodgers are 6-49 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Dodgers are 28-19 (.596) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are 9-2 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Cubs are just 36-21 (.632) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .810.
The Cubs are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Cubs are just 16-93 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 370 total hits (47%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,046 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (5,046 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .309 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Cubs are batting .223 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .878 (223 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .381 (345 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 43 of 700 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (777.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.37 runs per game (570/169) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (70.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs have allowed 2.62 runs per game (21/8) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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