- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Cubs
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+140) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-6 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -110 | -165 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -110 | +140 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 75% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.30 Units / 110% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Cubs vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Julio Urias | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -10.18% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -20.4% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.41% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.36% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 12-6 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 29.86% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 24.88% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -4.8% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has walked 3 of 92 batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (26/65) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (182/542) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (2,055/2,984) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (23/53) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 53% of the time (39/74) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (898/2,064) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (212/414) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Dodgers are 28-19 (.596) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Dodgers are 6-49 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Cubs are just 64-44 (.593) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Cubs are just 23-11 (.676) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Cubs are just 36-21 (.632) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .810.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,079 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 522 walks in 5,079 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .309 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs hitters are slugging .353 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .881 (345 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .381 (345 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (1703.0 IP) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.82 (786.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 454 of 6,602 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.13 runs per game (279/89) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (70.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jameson Taillon (Cubs): Groin, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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