- The Dodgers are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May
- Cubs starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 10-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-6 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -130 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 75% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+13.80 Units / 113% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Cubs vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| May | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Hayden Wesneski | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -14.35% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -24.01% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -3.45% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 13-6 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 32.76% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 30.49% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -9.81% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (28/167) against Dustin May this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Dustin May on the road this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Dustin May has a strikeout rate of just 30% (13 SO in 43 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.
Dustin May has a strike rate of 72% (63/87) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (7/27) against Hayden Wesneski this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has allowed a slugging percentage of .793 (23 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on fastballs this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .470 — sixth Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has thrown his slider 42% of the time (22/52) with runners in scoring position this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total SL; League Avg: 28% — 90th Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (2 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on sliders this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Dodgers are 29-20 (.592) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Dodgers are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are just 37-21 (.638) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .810.
The Cubs are just 0-5 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Cubs are just 28-29 (.491) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Cubs are just 77-5 (.939) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,085 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Dodgers are batting just .176 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .763 (2,144 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .309 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters are slugging .524 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Cubs are batting .230 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Cubs have scored 7.00 runs per game (56/8) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.74.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (794.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.24 runs per game (292/90) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (1511.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (70.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
The Cubs have allowed 2.62 runs per game (21/8) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Cubs pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .332 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jameson Taillon (Cubs): Groin, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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