- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+115) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 11-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-7 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -120 | -140 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 +100 | +115 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.80 Units / 97% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 49% ROI)
Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+0.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 10-12 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -8.5% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -20.56% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -7.82% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 13-7 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 24.7% ROI).
- 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 24.89% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 4.76% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -14.32% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has a strike rate of 70% (260/372) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 59% of the time (230/390) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw had a strike rate of 77% (81/105) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has walked 9 of 26 batters (35%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (23/30) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (36/57) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed an OPS of just .330 (44 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .713 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Dodgers are 30-20 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Dodgers are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are just 28-30 (.483) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Cubs are just 1-78 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Cubs are 38-47 (.447) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Cubs are just 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,123 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 34 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .362 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .381 (345 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .654 (432 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Cubs are batting .309 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have allowed 3.25 runs per game (296/91) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 463 of 6,684 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 56 of 819 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (1520.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (70.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jameson Taillon (Cubs): Groin, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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