- The Dodgers (96-43) are -225 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (66-73)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (14-3), 2.73 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson (1-0), 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 94-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 80-56 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -135 | O 9 -115 | -225 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 +110 | U 9 -105 | +180 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 76 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 88 games (+15.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 72 away games (+15.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+16.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 135 games (+10.88 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 61 games (+32.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+14.05 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 84-52 against the Run Line (+29.4 Units / 18.04% ROI).
- 94-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 3.52% ROI
- 59-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -9.33% ROI
- 66-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.67% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 80-56 against the Run Line (+20.7 Units / 11.86% ROI).
- 65-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.33% ROI
- 63-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -7.82% ROI
- 68-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.59% ROI
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 76% (137/180) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (734/1,217) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.8 MPH (428 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.5 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH this season (428 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Ryne Nelson: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of just .400 (25 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .723 — 91st Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 95th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of just .176 (17 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (1 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 96th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strike rate of 70% (61/87) this month (1 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 91st Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 23-85 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Dodgers are 117-66 (.639) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 109-26 (.807) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Dodgers are 181-19 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 106-33 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 117-21 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-32 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 31-172 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (3,858 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,621 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (4,204 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .204 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (1351.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (1618.2 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
The Dodgers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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