Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (96-43) are -225 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (66-73)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (14-3), 2.73 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson (1-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 94-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 80-56 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -135O 9 -115-225
Diamondbacks +1.5 +110U 9 -105+180

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 76 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 88 games (+15.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 72 away games (+15.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Christian Walker 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +1200 0.5

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Christian Walker 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carson Kelly 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Christian Walker 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+16.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 135 games (+10.88 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 61 games (+32.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+14.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 84-52 against the Run Line (+29.4 Units / 18.04% ROI).

  • 94-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 3.52% ROI
  • 59-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -9.33% ROI
  • 66-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.67% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 80-56 against the Run Line (+20.7 Units / 11.86% ROI).

  • 65-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.33% ROI
  • 63-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 68-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.59% ROI

Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 76% (137/180) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (734/1,217) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.8 MPH (428 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.5 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH this season (428 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Ryne Nelson: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of just .400 (25 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .723 — 91st Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 95th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of just .176 (17 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (1 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 96th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has a strike rate of 70% (61/87) this month (1 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 91st Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 23-85 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Dodgers are 117-66 (.639) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Dodgers are 109-26 (.807) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Dodgers are 181-19 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 106-33 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Diamondbacks are just 117-21 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-32 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 31-172 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (3,858 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,621 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (4,204 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .204 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (1351.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (1618.2 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.

The Dodgers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.