- The Dodgers (97-43) are -200 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (66-74)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (7-3), 2.61 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (12-5), 2.93 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+165) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 95-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 80-57 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -105 | -200 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -115 | +165 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 41 of his last 77 games (+17.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+15.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 73 away games (+14.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 89 games (+14.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 61 games at home (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+15.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 136 games (+9.43 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 62 games (+33.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+13.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 85-52 against the Run Line (+30.4 Units / 18.5% ROI).
- 95-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 3.85% ROI
- 59-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -9.96% ROI
- 67-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.33% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 80-57 against the Run Line (+19.7 Units / 11.22% ROI).
- 65-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.68% ROI
- 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -8.46% ROI
- 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -0.92% ROI
Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 65% of the time (421/652) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 63% of the time (501/795) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .164 (311 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (133/352) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .260 (26 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .412 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (43/208) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 17th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .337 (211 Total Bases / 627 ABs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 83rd Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of just .398 (347 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .473 — 84th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 23-85 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Dodgers are 127-50 (.718) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Dodgers are 192-16 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Dodgers are 208-42 (.832) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 106-33 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 117-21 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-32 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 31-172 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,637 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,890 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (3,890 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,509 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .204 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (1360.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.00 runs per game (219/73) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (1627.2 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers this season traveled 503.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 462.9
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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