- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Giants
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+135) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Dodgers vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-6 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | -160 |
| Giants | +1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -105 | +135 |
Dodgers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Edwin Rios has hit the RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Edwin Rios has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ford Proctor has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- Bryce Johnson has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Giants vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| May | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 6.64% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -14.86% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 12.15% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -20.08% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 4-6 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -27.65% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -26.94% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 14.68% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -24.32% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dustin May has thrown inside pitches 57% of the time (27/47) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed an OBP of just .170 (47 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (5-for-44) against Dustin May this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood threw his curveball 37% of the time (154/416) when behind in the count in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (283/835) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (160/437) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (290/879) when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Dodgers were 26-15 (.634) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Dodgers were 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Giants are 51-57 (.472) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are 41-44 (.482) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Giants are 38-87 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Giants are 27-36 (.429) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,857 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,509 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (4,857 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have 36 strikeouts in 93 PA’s (39%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .529 (93 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .758.
The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 17 of 395 batters (4%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 42% of the time since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (760.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 182 of 2,987 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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