Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+165) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Dodgers vs Guardians Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 76-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 63-62 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -120O 9 -120-200
Guardians +1.5 +100U 9 +100+165

Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)

Guardians vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Will Smith 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Will Brennan 0.5 +1050 0.5
Steven Kwan 0.5 +1150 0.5
Myles Straw 0.5 +1450 0.5

Guardians vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Will Smith 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Will Brennan 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Steven Kwan 1.5 +170 1.5 -225
Myles Straw 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Guardians vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Will Smith 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Will Brennan 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Steven Kwan 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Myles Straw 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

Guardians vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Noah Syndergaard 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
Bobby Miller 4.5 -155 4.5 +115
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 97 games (+19.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 57 away games (+17.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 119 games (+14.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 83 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.93 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+9.88 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 68-55 against the Run Line (+15.5 Units / 10.47% ROI).

  • 76-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 68-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.1 Units / 10.38% ROI
  • 49-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.05 Units / -18.56% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 63-62 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI).

  • 59-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.2 Units / -12.78% ROI
  • 48-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.8 Units / -23.19% ROI
  • 72-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.8 Units / 14.56% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 12% (9/72) against Bobby Miller — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 6% (2/33) against Bobby Miller — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.

Bobby Miller has allowed an OPS of just .364 (46 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .703 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Bobby Miller — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 61 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 11 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 50 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Dodgers are 66-32 (.673) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Dodgers are 164-26 (.863) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Dodgers are 16-6 (.727) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Dodgers are 34-15 (.694) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Guardians are 28-99 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.

The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Guardians are 93-15 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Dodgers hitters have 135 extra-base hits out of 291 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 158 PA’s (11%) against LHP over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .768 (3,360 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 334 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,420 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Guardians hitters have just 1,398 strikeouts in 7,842 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters have just 1,991 strikeouts in 10,841 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 176 of 2,580 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (1039.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.60 (2571.0 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.76 (1115.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Guardians vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D10
  • Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
  • Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
  • Cameron Gallagher (Guardians): Concussion, D7
  • David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.